GW 11 Final Results

GW 11 Results – Final

In this post, I take a look at the results of GW11 for 2 different random samples of 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, results are very similar and reflect the overall FPL game data. From next week and on, I think I’m rather going to post data for one random sample and the sample of the top 10K teams.

SUMMARY

  • The official average score for GW11 is 45 points, but average scores for both samples are slightly higher. I have noticed that such a little upward bias is typical for my random samples. I believe that FPL uses the floor function rather than the standard mathematical round function to calculate the average, i.e. they round the average down to an integer number. I’ll take a closer look at this over the coming weeks.
  • Even though it’s GW11 already and there is a significant number of dead teams in the game, an average team is still in a good shape: 11.6 players per team played positive minutes (from the 12 players on the pitch who score points including captain twice). Less than 1% of teams didn’t get double points for a captain or a vice-captain.
1st Sample 2nd Sample
Number of Managers 10,000 10,000
GW11 Average Score 45.7 45.9
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 0.7 0.7
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 11.6 11.6
Captains Played 99.2% 99.3%
of Which: Vice-Captains 3.1% 3.2%

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY SOURCE OF POINTS

Minutes played were the source of almost a half of the average score. Goals scored brought on average 18% of the points per team, clean sheet points brought 15%, bonus points were responsible for another 13%.

1st Sample 2nd Sample
Source of Points Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Minutes Played 21.9 48.0% 22.0 47.8%
Goals Scored 8.3 18.2% 8.4 18.3%
Assists 4.8 10.5% 4.8 10.5%
Clean Sheet Points 6.8 15.0% 6.8 14.9%
Goals Conceded -1.2 -2.5% -1.1 -2.5%
Own Goals and Penalty Misses 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
Red and Yellow Cards -1.2 -2.7% -1.2 -2.6%
Saves and Penalty Saves 0.2 0.4% 0.2 0.4%
Bonus Points 6.0 13.2% 6.1 13.2%
TOTAL 45.7 100.0% 45.9 100.0%

10 PLAYERS CONTRIBUTING THE MOST TO THE AVERAGE

Luis Suárez was the most captained player in GW11. Unfortunately for those who didn’t have him in their teams (*sighs deeply*), he also became the highest scoring player of the week. His 16 point haul boosted the overall average score by over 6.5 points. RvP contributed another 3.5 points. Baines, Hazard, Mignolet, and Coleman did their bit too.

1st Sample 2nd Sample
Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average
Suárez 16 6.5 14.3% Suárez 16 6.8 14.8%
van Persie 9 3.5 7.7% van Persie 9 3.4 7.4%
Hazard 13 2.2 4.9% Baines 8 2.2 4.9%
Baines 8 2.2 4.9% Hazard 13 2.2 4.8%
Mignolet 6 2.1 4.6% Mignolet 6 2.1 4.5%
Coleman 8 2.0 4.3% Coleman 8 2.0 4.4%
Lambert 15 1.8 3.9% Lambert 15 1.8 4.0%
Lallana 12 1.5 3.4% Lallana 12 1.6 3.6%
Jagielka 9 1.5 3.2% Jagielka 9 1.4 3.1%
Ramsey 2 1.1 2.5% Ramsey 2 1.1 2.5%

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY LINE IN FORMATION

Forwards were the main source of points having scored 18 points per average team. Midfielders outscored defenders, but primarily because of their quantity: an average defender slightly outscored an average midfielder. An average captain scored 12 points (doubled).

1st Sample 2nd Sample
Line in Formation Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Goalkeeper 3.7 8.2% 3.8 8.3%
Defenders 11.7 25.5% 11.6 25.2%
Midfielders 12.5 27.4% 12.6 27.3%
Forwards 17.8 38.9% 18.0 39.2%
Points for Captain 12.0 26.3% 12.2 26.6%
Points on the Bench 4.4 9.6% 4.4 9.6%
TOTAL 45.7 100.0% 45.9 100.0%

AVERAGE POINTS BY POSITION

1st Sample 2nd Sample
Position Points Points
Goalkeeper 3.9 4.0
Defender 3.4 3.4
Midfielder 3.2 3.2
Forward 5.0 5.1
(*) This table only accounts for players who have played positive minutes this week

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