GW 14 Stats

GW 14 Team Selection and Transfers

In this post, I present transfer and team selection statistics for GW 14. I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, we can make inferences about the overall FPL league based on the statistics for the random sample.
Interval estimates for most statistics for the whole FPL game are also available. If you’re familiar with the concept of confidence intervals, you can point at a specific number characterising the random sample to see 99% confidence intervals for the respective number characterising all the 3 million FPL managers.

TRANSFERS AND TEAM VALUE

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
Average Transfers Made 0.50 0.92
Point Hits Taken 7.9% 11.6%
Average Points Deducted (Incl. No Hits) 0.50 0.53
Wildcards Played 0.8% 0.5%
Wildcard Status
– played 42.7% 76.4%
– available 57.2% 23.6%
– active 0.0% 0.0%
Average Team Value ₤99.9m ₤105.1m
Average Money in the Bank ₤0.7m ₤0.7m

TRANSFERS MADE

Number Random Sample Top 10K
0 70.6% 36.0%
1 13.9% 38.4%
2 10.9% 21.9%
3 2.6% 2.8%
4 and more 1.3% 0.4%
Wildcard 0.8% 0.5%

POINT HITS TAKEN

Point Hit Random Sample Top 10K
0 points 92.1% 88.4%
4 points 5.6% 10.0%
8 points 1.5% 1.3%
12 points 0.4% 0.2%
16 points and more 0.5% 0.0%

TRANSFERS IN

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Rooney 3.4% 1 Rooney 5.6%
2 Giroud 2.7% 2 Gerrard 5.1%
3 Coleman 2.0% 3 Giroud 5.0%
4 Negredo 1.9% 4 Morrison(WHU) 3.9%
5 Morrison(WHU) 1.8% 5 Gazzaniga 3.3%
295 different players bought 242 different players bought

TRANSFERS OUT

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Sturridge 9.2% 1 Boruc 11.6%
2 Boruc 3.6% 2 Sturridge 9.2%
3 Baines 3.1% 3 Oscar 8.2%
4 Barkley 2.5% 4 Barkley 5.7%
5 Oscar 2.4% 5 Remy 3.5%
397 different players sold 305 different players sold

FORMATIONS

Formation Random Sample Top 10K
‘3-4-3’ 42.1% 68.5%
‘3-5-2’ 6.7% 2.2%
‘4-3-3’ 16.6% 23.7%
‘4-4-2’ 30.8% 4.0%
‘4-5-1’ 0.8% 0.1%
‘5-2-3’ 0.8% 1.0%
‘5-3-2’ 1.8% 0.5%
‘5-4-1’ 0.4% 0.0%

CAPTAINCY

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Suárez 24.5% 1 Suárez 76.7%
2 van Persie 12.9% 2 Agüero 10.6%
3 Agüero 11.7% 3 Rooney 3.4%
4 Giroud 6.2% 4 Giroud 3.0%
5 Ramsey 5.5% 5 Ramsey 2.7%
222 different captain choices 32 different captain choices

STARTING GOALKEEPERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Mignolet 36.5% 1 Mignolet 46.1%
2 Cech 8.4% 2 Szczesny 7.7%
3 De Gea 7.2% 3 Boruc 6.6%
4 Boruc 6.8% 4 Jääskeläinen 5.2%
5 Begovic 6.1% 5 Begovic 5.0%
51 different goalkeepers 32 different goalkeepers

STARTING DEFENDERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Zabaleta 25.3% 1 Zabaleta 37.0%
2 Coleman 24.7% 2 Mertesacker 35.2%
3 Ivanovic 22.2% 3 Coleman 30.9%
4 Mertesacker 19.6% 4 Terry 28.6%
5 Fonte 18.7% 5 Dawson(TOT) 21.6%
182 different defenders 112 different defenders

STARTING MIDFIELDERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Ramsey 58.1% 1 Ramsey 95.3%
2 Yaya Touré 36.9% 2 Yaya Touré 53.9%
3 Özil 27.0% 3 Özil 38.6%
4 Hazard 19.2% 4 Hazard 27.1%
5 Barkley 18.2% 5 Morrison(WHU) 23.7%
220 different midfielders 107 different midfielders

STARTING FORWARDS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Suárez 32.8% 1 Suárez 89.1%
2 Giroud 32.7% 2 Agüero 68.7%
3 Agüero 30.8% 3 Rooney 44.1%
4 Lukaku 22.6% 4 Giroud 30.0%
5 van Persie 18.8% 5 Lukaku 26.0%
103 different forwards 43 different forwards

BENCHED PLAYERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Boruc 12.6% 1 Coleman 23.8%
2 Whittaker 11.7% 2 Barkley 23.6%
3 Barkley 11.3% 3 Boruc 20.9%
4 Kelvin Davis 10.3% 4 Whittaker 13.6%
5 Baker 9.6% 5 Baker 13.5%
579 different players on the bench 455 different players on the bench

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