GW 15 Final Results

Another GW has finished, here are the results for my 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams as of the start of the week. Luis Suarez strikes again.

SUMMARY

  • Only three days ago points were flying far and wide, however, GW 15 has brought us back to earth. An average of 40 points means that it’s the second lowest scoring gameweek of the season after GW 7.
Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW15 Average Score 40.8 59.8
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 0.7 0.6
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 11.4 11.9
Captains Played 98.2% 100.0%
of Which: Vice-Captains 9.5% 0.1%

AVERAGE POINTS BREAKDOWN BY OVERALL RANK

  • This is a new item in my weekly posts. Since overall average doesn’t mean much to active players at this stage of the season, I’ve decided to calculate average points for every 5% of FPL managers and see how gameweek points are distributed over the overall table. These estimates are derived from my random sample of 20,000 FPL teams.
  • We can see that teams which were positioned higher at the start of the week scored better this week as well. Gaps in the overall league widened further.

GW15 average

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY SOURCE OF POINTS

  • Clean sheet points were extremely rare this week. Only Newcastle, Norwich, Fulham, and Crystal Palace managed to keep a clean sheet, but their defenders are rather considered as differentials and bench fodder.
Random Sample Top 10K
Source of Points Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Minutes Played 21.8 53.5% 23.4 39.1%
Goals Scored 7.7 18.8% 13.6 22.7%
Assists 6.5 15.9% 14.0 23.5%
Clean Sheet Points 2.1 5.3% 2.0 3.4%
Goals Conceded -1.2 -2.7% -1.0 -1.5%
Own Goals and Penalty Misses -0.1 -0.2% -0.1 -0.0%
Red and Yellow Cards -1.4 -3.4% -1.5 -2.4%
Saves and Penalty Saves 0.4 1.1% 0.5 0.8%
Bonus Points 5.0 12.2% 8.8 14.8%
TOTAL 40.8 100.0% 59.8 100.0%

10 PLAYERS CONTRIBUTING THE MOST TO THE AVERAGE

  • Luis Suarez captaincy rates were crazy among top teams, and he served them well. He scored 18.3 points more for an average top 10K team than for an average FPL team, this almost completely explains the 19 points difference in average total points for the GW.
Random Sample Top 10K
Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average
Suárez 15 11.1 27.2% Suárez 15 29.4 49.2%
Özil 10 3.1 7.5% Agüero 6 4.3 7.1%
Agüero 6 2.6 6.4% Özil 10 4.1 6.9%
Ramsey 3 1.9 4.8% Ramsey 3 2.9 4.8%
Lukaku 5 1.4 3.4% Lukaku 5 1.7 2.9%
Yaya Touré 2 0.8 2.0% Yaya Touré 2 1.3 2.2%
Mignolet 2 0.8 1.9% Mignolet 2 0.9 1.6%
Paulinho 10 0.8 1.9% Hazard 2 0.9 1.6%
Giroud 2 0.8 1.8% Coleman 2 0.9 1.5%
Cabaye 10 0.7 1.6% Cabaye 10 0.9 1.5%

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY LINE IN FORMATION

Random Sample Top 10K
Line in Formation Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Goalkeeper 2.2 5.5% 2.3 3.9%
Defenders 7.3 17.9% 7.2 12.1%
Midfielders 12.9 31.5% 13.4 22.5%
Forwards 18.4 45.1% 36.8 61.5%
Points for Captain 14.6 35.7% 29.4 49.1%
Points on the Bench 3.5 8.6% 5.0 8.4%
Points off the Bench 2.7 6.7% 0.7 1.2%
TOTAL 40.8 100.0% 59.8 100.0%

AVERAGE POINTS BY POSITION

Random Sample Top 10K
Position Points Points
Goalkeeper 2.3 2.4
Defender 2.2 2.1
Midfielder 3.1 3.4
Forward 5.3 8.2
(*) This table only accounts for players who have played positive minutes this week
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