GW 16 Stats

GW 16 Team Selection and Transfers

Another gameweek, another chunk of statistical data. Please welcome transfer and team selection statistics for GW 16. Everton players bandwagon, a lot of point hits in the top 10K, variety of captain choices and much more.

TRANSFERS AND TEAM VALUE

  • At first glance, there was nothing special about transfer activity this week. However, there was an unusually high number of point hits taken by the top 10K fantasy managers. 16% of them are starting GW 16 on negative points, this is the highest value since I started to calculate these statistics in GW 12.
  • Average team value for the top 10K has risen by ₤1.0m over the last 2 gameweeks.
Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
Average Transfers Made 0.62 1.12
Point Hits Taken 10.1% 16.0%
Average Points Deducted (Incl. No Hits) 0.68 0.77
Wildcards Played 0.8% 0.6%
Wildcard Status
– played 44.8% 79.7%
– available 55.2% 20.3%
– active 0.0% 0.0%
Average Team Value ₤100.2m ₤106.1m
Average Money in the Bank ₤0.8m ₤0.7m

TRANSFERS MADE

Number Random Sample Top 10K
0 65.2% 25.1%
1 15.9% 42.1%
2 13.1% 27.6%
3 3.1% 3.9%
4 and more 1.9% 0.7%
Wildcard 0.8% 0.6%

POINT HITS TAKEN

Point Hit Random Sample Top 10K
0 points 89.9% 84.0%
4 points 6.8% 13.4%
8 points 2.0% 2.2%
12 points 0.6% 0.4%
16 points and more 0.7% 0.1%

TRANSFERS IN

  • Following the successful trips to Old Trafford and Emirates Stadium, Everton have very nice fixtures on their way. As a result, we’ve seem a mini-bandwagon for their players.
  • Wayne Rooney returns after a one game suspension, a lot of managers didn’t hesitate to get him back in.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Lukaku 5.2% 1 Lukaku 13.3%
2 Coleman 3.2% 2 Hazard 8.9%
3 Hazard 3.0% 3 Howard 6.2%
4 Rooney 2.9% 4 Rooney 6.2%
5 Suárez 2.9% 5 Distin 5.2%
333 different players bought 239 different players bought

TRANSFERS OUT

  • Steven Gerrard injury blow made him the main asset for sale. As we’ve seen above, most ex-owners have opted for Eden Hazard as his replacement.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Gerrard 4.6% 1 Gerrard 12.6%
2 Giroud 4.4% 2 Giroud 10.4%
3 Boruc 2.1% 3 Mignolet 5.4%
4 Sturridge 2.0% 4 Boruc 4.2%
5 Remy 1.7% 5 Özil 4.0%
416 different players sold 328 different players sold

TEAM SELECTION

FORMATIONS

Formation Random Sample Top 10K
‘3-4-3’ 44.6% 77.9%
‘3-5-2’ 7.2% 3.9%
‘4-3-3’ 15.1% 13.5%
‘4-4-2’ 29.9% 3.8%
‘4-5-1’ 0.9% 0.1%
‘5-2-3’ 0.5% 0.5%
‘5-3-2’ 1.5% 0.3%
‘5-4-1’ 0.4% 0.0%

CAPTAINCY

  • With Liverpool having suffered the Gerrard injury blow and facing Spurs away at White Hart Lane, Luis Suárez has lost his appeal as a captaincy choice for a lot of fantasy managers. Even though he is still by far the most captained player, there is much more variety with respect to the armand this week.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Suárez 24.1% 1 Suárez 34.9%
2 van Persie 11.0% 2 Lukaku 20.8%
3 Agüero 10.1% 3 Hazard 16.8%
4 Lukaku 7.6% 4 Agüero 12.8%
5 Hazard 6.5% 5 Rooney 11.0%
221 different captain choices 41 different captain choices

STARTING GOALKEEPERS

  • Mignolet to Howard was a very popular transfer. As a result, Tim Howard has appeared among the top 5 most popular goalkeeper choices in both samples. Mignolet’s ownership has significantly declined.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Mignolet 33.0% 1 Mignolet 35.6%
2 Cech 8.0% 2 Howard 10.4%
3 Howard 7.7% 3 Krul 6.8%
4 De Gea 6.8% 4 Marshall 6.2%
5 Szczesny 5.6% 5 Szczesny 5.6%
53 different goalkeepers 30 different goalkeepers

STARTING DEFENDERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Coleman 33.4% 1 Coleman 63.1%
2 Zabaleta 24.8% 2 Zabaleta 31.9%
3 Jagielka 21.7% 3 Terry 23.8%
4 Ivanovic 20.7% 4 Jagielka 23.1%
5 Mertesacker 18.0% 5 Mertesacker 21.2%
182 different defenders 117 different defenders

STARTING MIDFIELDERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Ramsey 59.3% 1 Ramsey 88.4%
2 Yaya Touré 38.4% 2 Yaya Touré 60.5%
3 Özil 26.6% 3 Hazard 51.4%
4 Hazard 26.0% 4 Özil 47.0%
5 Barkley 23.1% 5 Barkley 24.1%
221 different midfielders 110 different midfielders

STARTING FORWARDS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Suárez 42.7% 1 Suárez 99.6%
2 Agüero 34.3% 2 Agüero 72.4%
3 Lukaku 30.5% 3 Lukaku 51.3%
4 Giroud 27.7% 4 Rooney 26.4%
5 van Persie 16.0% 5 Giroud 15.0%
99 different forwards 46 different forwards

BENCHED PLAYERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Boruc 11.5% 1 Gabbidon 17.4%
2 Whittaker 10.9% 2 Baker 15.6%
3 Kelvin Davis 10.4% 3 Boruc 14.8%
4 Baker 10.2% 4 Kelvin Davis 14.3%
5 Given 8.3% 5 Harper 12.1%
585 different players on the bench 446 different players on the bench

About This Post

In this post, I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, we can make inferences about the overall FPL league based on the statistics for the random sample.
Interval estimates for most statistics for the whole FPL game are also available. If you’re familiar with the concept of confidence intervals, you can point at a specific number characterising the random sample to see 99% confidence intervals for the respective number characterising all the 3 million FPL managers.

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