Please welcome statistics on team selection and transfer activity for GW 19.
TRANSFERS AND TEAM VALUE
|
Random Sample |
Top 10K |
Number of Managers |
20,000 |
10,000 |
Average Transfers Made |
0.56 |
1.19 |
Point Hits Taken |
10.1% |
21.1% |
Average Points Deducted (Incl. No Hits) |
0.59 |
0.99 |
Wildcards Played |
0.5% |
0.7% |
Wildcard Status |
|
|
– played |
47.0% |
82.2% |
– available |
53.0% |
17.8% |
– active |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Average Team Value |
₤100.2m |
₤106.6m |
Average Money in the Bank |
₤0.8m |
₤0.9m |
TRANSFERS MADE
Number |
Random Sample |
Top 10K |
0 |
67.9% |
22.7% |
1 |
14.4% |
40.7% |
2 |
12.9% |
30.4% |
3 |
3.0% |
4.9% |
4 and more |
1.3% |
0.7% |
Wildcard |
0.5% |
0.7% |
POINT HITS TAKEN
Point Hit |
Random Sample |
Top 10K |
0 points |
89.9% |
79.0% |
4 points |
7.4% |
18.1% |
8 points |
1.8% |
2.5% |
12 points |
0.5% |
0.4% |
16 points and more |
0.4% |
0.1% |
TRANSFERS IN
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Cabaye |
4.2% |
|
1 |
Walcott |
16.1% |
2 |
Walcott |
4.1% |
|
2 |
Cabaye |
8.1% |
3 |
Negredo |
3.0% |
|
3 |
Negredo |
6.7% |
4 |
Lallana |
2.8% |
|
4 |
Silva |
6.4% |
5 |
Rooney |
1.9% |
|
5 |
Zabaleta |
5.0% |
287 different players bought |
|
234 different players bought |
TRANSFERS OUT
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Ramsey |
15.4% |
|
1 |
Ramsey |
41.3% |
2 |
Lukaku |
3.5% |
|
2 |
Lukaku |
8.5% |
3 |
Howard |
2.7% |
|
3 |
Özil |
6.5% |
4 |
Begovic |
1.8% |
|
4 |
Howard |
5.3% |
5 |
Giroud |
1.7% |
|
5 |
Begovic |
2.9% |
365 different players sold |
|
295 different players sold |
FORMATIONS
Formation |
Random Sample |
Top 10K |
‘3-4-3’ |
43.7% |
73.3% |
‘3-5-2’ |
7.2% |
3.4% |
‘4-3-3’ |
16.0% |
18.5% |
‘4-4-2’ |
29.6% |
3.6% |
‘4-5-1’ |
1.0% |
0.1% |
‘5-2-3’ |
0.8% |
0.7% |
‘5-3-2’ |
1.4% |
0.4% |
‘5-4-1’ |
0.4% |
0.0% |
CAPTAINCY
- With rotation issues for a lot of popular captain picks, I think I should also present stats for vice-captains this week. Most popular vice-captains in the top 10,000 FPL teams: Suárez 31.5%, Rooney 20.2%, Yaya Touré 12.3%, Negredo 9.2%, Lukaku 6.1%, Silva 4.2%, Hazard 3.0%, Walcott 2.7%, Özil 2.6%, Giroud 1.2%, Adebayor 0.8%.
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Suárez |
24.8% |
|
1 |
Rooney |
37.1% |
2 |
Rooney |
12.5% |
|
2 |
Suárez |
28.4% |
3 |
van Persie |
10.3% |
|
3 |
Negredo |
18.5% |
4 |
Negredo |
7.5% |
|
4 |
Yaya Touré |
6.9% |
5 |
Yaya Touré |
6.6% |
|
5 |
Silva |
4.2% |
223 different captain choices |
|
34 different captain choices |
STARTING GOALKEEPERS
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Mignolet |
30.9% |
|
1 |
Mignolet |
30.6% |
2 |
De Gea |
7.7% |
|
2 |
Szczesny |
10.0% |
3 |
Cech |
7.6% |
|
3 |
Krul |
8.7% |
4 |
Szczesny |
7.5% |
|
4 |
Mannone |
8.6% |
5 |
Hart |
5.4% |
|
5 |
Marshall |
8.1% |
58 different goalkeepers |
|
37 different goalkeepers |
STARTING DEFENDERS
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Coleman |
39.5% |
|
1 |
Coleman |
80.0% |
2 |
Mertesacker |
23.0% |
|
2 |
Mertesacker |
40.5% |
3 |
Jagielka |
22.8% |
|
3 |
Zabaleta |
23.4% |
4 |
Zabaleta |
20.6% |
|
4 |
Terry |
21.5% |
5 |
Ivanovic |
18.5% |
|
5 |
Jagielka |
19.8% |
185 different defenders |
|
108 different defenders |
STARTING MIDFIELDERS
- Some other popular picks in the top 10K: (6)Walcott 24.0%, (7)Lallana 22.1%, (8)Silva 19.8%, (9)Ramsey 18.1%, (10)Januzaj 17.7%
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Yaya Touré |
43.1% |
|
1 |
Yaya Touré |
71.3% |
2 |
Ramsey |
33.3% |
|
2 |
Hazard |
52.9% |
3 |
Hazard |
26.2% |
|
3 |
Özil |
31.3% |
4 |
Barkley |
25.8% |
|
4 |
Barkley |
30.2% |
5 |
Özil |
24.3% |
|
5 |
Cabaye |
29.9% |
225 different midfielders |
|
110 different midfielders |
STARTING FORWARDS
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Suárez |
49.5% |
|
1 |
Suárez |
99.5% |
2 |
Lukaku |
29.3% |
|
2 |
Rooney |
70.4% |
3 |
Rooney |
24.5% |
|
3 |
Lukaku |
41.8% |
4 |
Giroud |
23.1% |
|
4 |
Negredo |
39.4% |
5 |
Negredo |
17.2% |
|
5 |
Remy |
11.1% |
101 different forwards |
|
40 different forwards |
BENCHED PLAYERS
Random Sample |
|
Top 10K |
1 |
Ramsey |
12.4% |
|
1 |
Ramsey |
33.1% |
2 |
Whittaker |
11.2% |
|
2 |
Gabbidon |
17.6% |
3 |
Kelvin Davis |
10.3% |
|
3 |
Whittaker |
14.6% |
4 |
Boruc |
9.5% |
|
4 |
Kelvin Davis |
14.1% |
5 |
Baker |
8.8% |
|
5 |
Baker |
12.1% |
586 different players on the bench |
|
430 different players on the bench |
OWNERSHIP AND CAPTAINCY DISTRIBUTION FOR MOST CAPTAINED PLAYERS
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About This Post
In this post, I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, we can make inferences about the overall FPL league based on the statistics for the random sample. Interval estimates for most statistics for the whole FPL game are also available. If you’re familiar with the concept of confidence intervals, you can point at a specific number characterising the random sample to see 99% confidence intervals for the respective number characterising all the 3 million FPL managers.
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