GW 21 Intermediate Results 2

GW 28 Intermediate Results – Saturday

Please welcome to the intermediate results of GW 28 with bonus points according to the BPS.
Expected average is 36 points (an outside chance of 35) from 7.2 players. Average score in the top 10K is 49.7 points with only 2.5 players left to play.

SUMMARY

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW28 Average Score 36.1 49.7
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 0.6 0.9
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 7.2 9.4
Captains Played 63.1% 75.3%

GAMEWEEK RANK PROJECTIONS

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AVERAGE POINTS DISTRIBUTION

GW28Average

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY SOURCE OF POINTS

Random Sample Top 10K
Source of Points Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Minutes Played 13.6 37.7% 18.4 37.0%
Goals Scored 5.6 15.4% 7.8 15.7%
Assists 8.4 23.3% 14.0 28.2%
Clean Sheet Points 4.5 12.4% 3.4 6.9%
Goals Conceded -0.5 -1.4% -0.6 -1.2%
Own Goals and Penalty Misses 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
Red and Yellow Cards -0.5 -1.2% -0.3 -0.5%
Saves and Penalty Saves 0.1 0.4% 0.2 0.4%
Bonus Points 4.9 13.6% 6.8 13.7%
TOTAL 36.1 100.0% 49.7 100.0%

10 PLAYERS CONTRIBUTING THE MOST TO THE AVERAGE

Random Sample Top 10K
Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average
Suárez 15 12.4 34.4% Suárez 15 19.9 40.0%
Hazard 10 4.6 12.9% Hazard 10 9.8 19.8%
Coleman 6 2.0 5.6% Coleman 6 3.3 6.6%
Mignolet 6 1.6 4.5% Sturridge 2 2.3 4.6%
Baines 11 1.6 4.3% Sterling 6 1.6 3.2%
Gerrard 8 0.9 2.5% Gerrard 8 1.6 3.1%
Sturridge 2 0.8 2.3% Lallana 2 1.4 2.9%
Lukaku 7 0.8 2.1% Mertesacker 2 0.7 1.5%
Sterling 6 0.7 1.9% Cahill 3 0.7 1.4%
Lallana 2 0.7 1.9% Koscielny 2 0.6 1.3%

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY LINE IN FORMATION

Random Sample Top 10K
Line in Formation Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Goalkeeper 2.9 8.1% 2.0 3.9%
Defenders 8.1 22.5% 9.0 18.1%
Midfielders 9.2 25.5% 15.8 31.7%
Forwards 15.9 44.0% 23.0 46.3%
Points for Captain 12.2 33.7% 13.2 26.5%
Points on the Bench 3.1 8.6% 1.6 3.2%
TOTAL 36.1 100.0% 49.7 100.0%

AVERAGE POINTS BY POSITION

Random Sample Top 10K
Position Points Points
Goalkeeper 4.1 2.6
Defender 3.6 3.0
Midfielder 4.2 5.5
Forward 6.8 7.9
(*) This table only accounts for players who have played positive minutes this week

GW 28 HALL OF FAME

Random Sample Top 10K
Maximum Points 88 points 78 points
Best Defense Line 45 points 37 points
Best Midfield Line 51 points 39 points
Best Forward Line 45 points 45 points
Best Bench 35 points 33 points
Bonus Points Magnet 16 points 14 points

GW 28 HALL OF SHAME

Random Sample Top 10K
Minimum Points 0 points 6 points
Worst Defense Line 0 points 0 points
Worst Midfield Line 0 points 0 points
Worst Forward Line 0 points 0 points
Cards Magnet -5 points -4 points

About This Post

In this post, I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, we can make inferences about the overall FPL league based on the statistics for the random sample. Interval estimates for most statistics for the whole FPL game are also available. If you’re familiar with the concept of confidence intervals, you can point at a specific number characterising the random sample to see 99% confidence intervals for the respective number characterising all the 3 million FPL managers.

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