GW 30 Final Results

Faith in FPL has been restored after the Suarez assist and 2 bonus points were added a few minutes ago. So, please welcome to the final results for GW 30. Expected average after the adjustment is 44 points (3.6 points increase), average score for the top 10K is 54.2 points now (6.8 points increase).

SUMMARY

  Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW30 Average Score 44.8 54.2
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 0.6 1.5
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 11.3 12.0
Captains Played 98.2% 100.0%
of Which: Vice-Captains 8.9% 1.8%

GAMEWEEK RANK PROJECTIONS

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AVERAGE POINTS DISTRIBUTION

GW30Average

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY SOURCE OF POINTS

  Random Sample Top 10K
Source of Points Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Minutes Played 21.2 47.3% 22.9 42.3%
Goals Scored 8.6 19.2% 12.2 22.5%
Assists 5.9 13.1% 8.9 16.3%
Clean Sheet Points 7.3 16.2% 5.8 10.6%
Goals Conceded -1.4 -3.0% -1.2 -2.1%
Own Goals and Penalty Misses -0.2 -0.4% -0.3 -0.5%
Red and Yellow Cards -1.8 -3.9% -1.4 -2.5%
Saves and Penalty Saves 0.3 0.8% 0.5 0.9%
Bonus Points 5.0 11.2% 6.9 12.8%
TOTAL 44.8 100.0% 54.2 100.0%

10 PLAYERS CONTRIBUTING THE MOST TO THE AVERAGE

Random Sample   Top 10K
Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average   Player GW Points Per Average Team % of the Average
Suárez 11 8.3 18.4%   Suárez 11 14.8 27.4%
Coleman 11 3.9 8.8%   Coleman 11 6.4 11.7%
Yaya Touré 6 2.7 6.1%   Yaya Touré 6 4.3 7.9%
Mertesacker 8 2.1 4.6%   Sturridge 4 2.9 5.4%
Mignolet 6 1.5 3.4%   Hazard 2 2.4 4.4%
Sturridge 4 1.5 3.3%   Gerrard 13 2.3 4.2%
Gerrard 13 1.5 3.3%   Mannone 10 2.2 4.0%
Rodriguez 7 1.4 3.0%   Mertesacker 8 1.6 2.9%
Lambert 11 1.3 2.9%   Rodriguez 7 1.4 2.6%
Hazard 2 1.1 2.4%   Koscielny 8 1.1 2.0%

AVERAGE POINTS PER TEAM BY LINE IN FORMATION

  Random Sample Top 10K
Line in Formation Points % of the Average Points % of the Average
Goalkeeper 4.3 9.6% 4.6 8.5%
Defenders 12.9 28.7% 13.7 25.3%
Midfielders 11.7 26.0% 13.6 25.1%
Forwards 16.0 35.6% 22.3 41.1%
         
Points for Captain 10.4 23.1% 12.0 22.1%
Points on the Bench 4.1 9.2% 8.2 15.1%
Points off the Bench 3.1 7.0% 1.0 1.9%
TOTAL 44.8 100.0% 54.2 100.0%

AVERAGE POINTS BY POSITION

  Random Sample Top 10K
Position Points Points
Goalkeeper 4.2 4.6
Defender 3.7 4.2
Midfielder 3.1 3.3
Forward 5.0 6.1
(*) This table only accounts for players who have played positive minutes this week

GW 30 HALL OF FAME

  Random Sample Top 10K
Maximum Points 96 points 93 points
Best Defense Line 47 points 47 points
Best Midfield Line 55 points 44 points
Best Forward Line 41 points 40 points
Best Bench 43 points 38 points
Bonus Points Magnet 18 points 19 points

GW 30 HALL OF SHAME

  Random Sample Top 10K
Minimum Points 0 points 19 points
Worst Defense Line -3 points -1 points
Worst Midfield Line -1 points 2 points
Worst Forward Line 0 points 1 points
Cards Magnet -14 points -9 points

About This Post

In this post, I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams. Because of the law of large numbers, we can make inferences about the overall FPL league based on the statistics for the random sample. Interval estimates for most statistics for the whole FPL game are also available. If you’re familiar with the concept of confidence intervals, you can point at a specific number characterising the random sample to see 99% confidence intervals for the respective number characterising all the 3 million FPL managers.

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5 comments on “GW 30 Final Results

    • What do you mean?
      I always post top 5 captain picks in my regular ‘Transfers and Team Selection’ posts at the start of each week.
      In the introductions to these posts there is always a link to the google spreadsheets where ALL captain picks are listed.

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