GW 9 Transfers and Team Selection

Please welcome to the statistics on team selection and transfer activity for GW 9. See this post for highlights and graphs, FULL STATS are available in THIS GOOGLE SPREADSHEET.

TRANSFERS AND TEAM VALUE

  • Contrary to some expectations, there was nothing special about transfer activity this week compared to the weeks before. 13.5% of FPL teams are starting this week on negative points having taken a point hit. The average size of a point hit taken is higher this time than in the last 3 weeks, but smaller than in any of the weeks before.
  • Roughly 40% of all wildcards in FPL have already been played. Most wildcards are still available, but if season 13/14 was any indication, only 15% more wildcards are likely to be played until the end of the season. Almost one third of the teams up top have their wildcards still intact, which gives them a certain competitive advantage.
  • Of all the wildcards that have been played by now, every fourth was played in GW 4. Among the teams that are in the current top 10K and have already played their wildcard, every second team played it in GW 4. This may indicate that GW 4 was a good time to play your wildcard.
  • Team value is obviously rising slower this season than in the season before, top teams have only acquired ₤2.7m extra value than an average FPL team.
Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
Average Transfers Made 0.76 1.20
Point Hits Taken 13.5% 18.0%
Average Points Deducted (Incl. No Hits) 0.94 0.86
Wildcards Played 2.2% 1.7%
Wildcard Status
– played 39.4% 62.5%
– available 60.6% 37.5%
– active 0.0% 0.0%
Average Team Value ₤99.4m ₤102.3m
Average Money in the Bank ₤1.1m ₤0.9m

TRANSFERS MADE

  • Last season, 32% teams were dead after 8 gameweeks. This week 57.7% made no transfers while only 23.6% top teams stayed quiet. The difference of 34% may be a good evidence that this season we’ll see a similar dynamics of teams passing away as in season 13/14.
Number Random Sample Top 10K
0 57.7% 23.6%
1 17.9% 37.4%
2 15.3% 30.9%
3 4.3% 5.6%
4 and more 2.7% 0.9%
Wildcard 2.2% 1.7%

POINT HITS TAKEN

Point Hit Random Sample Top 10K
0 points 86.5% 82.0%
4 points 8.7% 15.2%
8 points 2.8% 2.4%
12 points 0.9% 0.3%
16 points and more 1.1% 0.1%

TRANSFERS IN

  • After a 19 point haul, Aguero was unsurprisingly the main target on the transfer market.
  • Among Everton defenders, top teams preferred to buy Baines while casuals were more attracted by Jagielka.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Agüero 11.0% 1 Agüero 14.7%
2 Pellè 9.2% 2 Berahino 10.4%
3 Berahino 7.5% 3 Baines 9.4%
4 Tadic 5.2% 4 Tadic 8.7%
5 Jagielka 4.3% 5 Pellè 8.7%
325 different players bought 237 different players bought

TRANSFERS OUT

  • All the doubts surrounding Diego Costa’s fitness and the attractiveness of Aguero have resulted in mass sales of the Spaniard and a ₤0.3m decrease in his price. Ulloa bandwagon has proved to be one the worst bandwagons of this season.
  • Surpisingly, almost 5% of top teams sold Sterling this week.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Diego Costa 11.0% 1 Diego Costa 20.8%
2 Ulloa 6.0% 2 Ulloa 7.3%
3 Azpilicueta 3.2% 3 Azpilicueta 6.3%
4 Falcao 2.8% 4 Di María 5.8%
5 Dzeko 2.5% 5 Sterling 4.8%
454 different players sold 345 different players sold

FORMATIONS

  • 3-4-3 is still by far the most preferred formation in FPL. Dead teams prefer ‘4-4-2’ though.
Formation Random Sample Top 10K
‘3-4-3’ 42.4% 78.7%
‘3-5-2’ 16.9% 13.8%
‘4-3-3’ 7.4% 3.0%
‘4-4-2’ 30.1% 4.0%
‘4-5-1’ 1.7% 0.4%
‘5-2-3’ 0.2% 0.0%
‘5-3-2’ 0.9% 0.1%
‘5-4-1’ 0.4% 0.0%

CAPTAINCY

  • Aguero is by far the most popular captain choice among top teams. Diego Costa is still the most popular choice in the whole game.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Diego Costa 22.5% 1 Agüero 61.7%
2 Agüero 16.6% 2 Pellè 13.3%
3 Pellè 6.9% 3 Diego Costa 8.0%
4 Di María 5.6% 4 Sigurdsson 3.2%
5 Rooney 5.5% 5 Sterling 3.2%
227 different captain choices 43 different captain choices

STARTING GOALKEEPERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Howard 12.0% 1 Forster 15.2%
2 De Gea 11.1% 2 Krul 12.0%
3 Lloris 10.7% 3 Begovic 10.4%
4 Courtois 8.7% 4 Mannone 9.4%
5 Szczesny 6.8% 5 Foster 9.3%
48 different goalkeepers 29 different goalkeepers

STARTING DEFENDERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Clyne 26.7% 1 Clyne 46.9%
2 Ivanovic 26.7% 2 Baines 44.1%
3 Baines 20.7% 3 Bertrand 34.0%
4 Dier 17.9% 4 Wisdom 31.1%
5 Bertrand 17.0% 5 Taylor(SWA) 24.0%
200 different defenders 113 different defenders

STARTING MIDFIELDERS

  • The template midfield cosnsisting of Fabregas, Sterling, di Maria, and Sigurdsson remains incredibly popular.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Fábregas 52.5% 1 Sigurdsson 82.8%
2 Sterling 51.3% 2 Sterling 76.0%
3 Sigurdsson 46.4% 3 Di María 73.2%
4 Di María 38.7% 4 Fábregas 72.6%
5 Schneiderlin 16.0% 5 Tadic 32.2%
235 different midfielders 96 different midfielders

STARTING FORWARDS

  • Aguero’s ownership among top teams has increased dramatically this week, from 23.7% to 73.4%, i.e. by almost 50%. As mentioned above, transfers in made up only 15%, the other 35% of the increase is down to old owners who were outside of top 10K last week. In total, 45.75% new teams entered top 10K after last GW.
Random Sample Top 10K
1 Diego Costa 50.0% 1 Agüero 73.4%
2 Pellè 25.6% 2 Diego Costa 66.5%
3 Agüero 24.4% 3 Pellè 61.1%
4 Naismith 21.3% 4 Welbeck 39.5%
5 Welbeck 17.2% 5 Berahino 13.7%
95 different forwards 44 different forwards

BENCHED PLAYERS

Random Sample Top 10K
1 Myhill 14.8% 1 Duff 29.4%
2 Krul 12.1% 2 Hutton 18.4%
3 Bruce 10.3% 3 Krul 18.4%
4 Vlaar 9.0% 4 Moore 18.3%
5 Given 8.4% 5 Boyd 18.0%
604 different players on the bench 445 different players on the bench

OWNERSHIP AND CAPTAINCY DISTRIBUTION FOR MOST CAPTAINED PLAYERS

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About This Post

In this post, I take a look at 2 samples: randomly selected 20,000 FPL teams and the top 10,000 FPL teams as of the start of the gameweek.

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