Research Season Results

Season 2013/14 Summary – Formations

description summary of FPL Discovery posts for season 2013/14
gameweeks included 12-38 (first 11 gameweeks are missing)
samples examined – random samples of 20,000 FPL teams
– samples of top 10,000 FPL teams as of the start of each gameweek
team selection


In this section, I analyse formations chosen for starting line-ups.

1. Average formation at the start of an average gameweek

Average Formations - By Position

  • This season, an average FPL team played a ‘3.5-3.9-2.6’ formation🙂 Top 10K teams had almost the same average number of midfielders, but preferred forwards to defenders.

2. Average formation chosen at the start of an average gameweek

Average Formations

  • The difference in formations seen above results from the pupularity of the ‘4-4-2’ scheme among casual FPL players. Most of them were probably dead teams.
  • Top teams were basically choosing from 4 formations: ‘3-4-3’ was the most popular choice, ‘4-3-3’ was the second choice; while ‘4-4-2’ and ‘3-5-2’ could be witnessed in 5% teams each.

3.1. Formation choice dynamics in random samples

Formations - Random Sample

  • In FPL in general, the pecking order was relatively stable throughout the observed part of the season. The share of ‘4-4-2’ was the most stable one, which confirms my suggestion that these were mostly dead teams.

3.2. Formation choice dynamics in top 10K samples

Formations - Top 10K

  • Among top 10K, there was less stability. Obviously, the ‘3-4-3’ formation was the preferred one for some 75-80% teams, and the dips in popularity that we see resulted from temporary circumstances. Examples include a one game ban for Rooney in GW15 and the resulting replacement of ‘3-4-3’ by ‘3-5-2’ and ‘4-4-2’, or gameweeks with less games than usual like GW28 and GW29.


team selection

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