Research FPL History

Season 13/14 and FPL History

Three weeks ago, we closed another chapter in the book of FPL history. With every new season, this history is getting richer and the book is bulking up. However, as the years go by, things tend to get forgotten. In an attempt to collect different pieces of information about previous FPL seasons scattered all over the Internet, I’ve spent some fair amount of time delving into the WayBack Machine, searching through the archives of the FISO Forum, running scripts for history pages on the FPL site, and intensively googling what was still missing. My joke post about the birth of FPL was a spin off of this research.

FPL Winners

winners

In dramatic circumstances, Tom Fenley won the game this season beating the runner-up by only 1 point. The 2,634 points scored in process is the second highest result ever. Only Jon Reeson scored more in season 09/10.

Continue reading

Research Final top 1K

Final Top 1,000 Teams

Last week, I posted a review of the final top 10,000 teams. Today, I’d like to present a similar review of the final top 1K. For the most part, it contains similar diagrams, so I don’t explain them in detail here.

TOP 1K History Pages

To start with, let’s take a look at their previous history.

Previous Seasons History of TOP 1K Teams 2013/14
# 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 TOTAL
Seasons played before 65 134 170 115 119 137 120 140 1,000
% 6.5% 13.4% 17% 11.5% 11.9% 13.7% 12% 14% 100%
Previous top 10K finishes 721 167 65 30 10 4 3 0 1,000
% 72.1% 16.7% 6.5% 3% 1% 0.4% 0.3% 0% 100%
Previous top 1K finishes 929 54 13 3 1 0 0 0 1,000
% 92.9% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 100%
  • Compared to the top 10K, the top 1K teams were a tad more experienced: average number of seasons played before was 3.45 and 3.68 for these two samples respectively. Only 6.5% had no previous history.
  • 93% never finished in top 1K before, 72% never even finished in top 10K.
  • For only 18 teams in the top 1K it was a second consecutive top 1K finish.

Heroes

  • For 2 teams in the top 1K it was a third consecutive top 1K finish: The Last Boyscouts from Norway & Crazy Penguins from England.
  • For QD2013 from Hong Kong it was a 5th top 1K finish; no other team in the top 10K can brag about so many top 1K finishes. He is also one of those 9 teams in the top 10K of this season with 7 top 10K finishes out of 8 possible.
  • Premier Pie has a mediocre FPL history. Yet, he is another hero of the top 1K. Why? Read the next section.

Continue reading

Research Final Top 10K

Final Top 10,000 Teams

Today, I continue my series of post-season research articles with a detailed look at the final top 10,000 teams.

Top 10K History Pages

Who are all these people in top 10K? Was it beginner’s luck or years of experience that helped them get there? To answer this question, let’s take a look at their history pages which show us each team’s historical record since season 06/07 (7 previous seasons in total).

 
# 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 TOTAL
Seasons played before 891 1,412 1,696 1,328 1,231 1,131 1,009 1,302 10,000
% 8.91% 14.12% 16.96% 13.28% 12.31% 11.31% 10.09% 13.02% 100%
Previous top 10K finishes 7,925 1,308 482 182 72 21 9 1 10,000
% 79.25% 13.08% 4.82% 1.82% 0.72% 0.21% 0.09% 0.01% 100%
Previous top1K finishes 9,536 384 64 14 2 0 0 0 10,000
% 95.36% 3.84% 0.64% 0.14% 0.02% 0% 0% 0% 100%
  • Turns out that successful novices accounted for only 9% of the final top 10K; the other 91% had some experience behind them.
  • For almost 80% it was a first top 10K finish; 13% finished there once before; for the other 7% a top 10K finish is perhaps nothing but a routine.
  • For 867 teams in the top 10K it was a second consecutive top 10K finish; only 1 team has managed 8 consecutive top 10K finishes. Which one? Bring on the next section.

Continue reading

Research FPL Genesis

Genesis of Fantasy Premier League

Preparation of the posts with season results is taking some time. While I’m intensively copying and pasting to reconfigure the data for this season, I’d like to send my beloved readers for a trip to the early days of FPL. I’ve done some research on previous seasons of FPL and this is what I’ve learned about the birth of FPL.

Introduction

We live in a great time. The Universe was born 14 billion years ago (at least in its current phase). The Sun and the Earth formed some 4.5 billion years ago. A billion years later there was already some life on Earth. 200 thousand years ago, the 3.5 billion years of evolution gave rise to Homo sapiens. 150 years ago, Homo sapiens started to kick a ball under the rule of the Football Association. And finally, 12 years ago, the ultimate purpose of the Universe and the highest point of the evolution of life on Earth was achieved: Homo sapiens started to play fantasy football on fantasy.premierleague.com. Let’s take a closer look at the genesis of our favorite game and its first season.

Continue reading

GW 38 Final Results

GW 38 Final Results

Please welcome to the final results for GW 38. Bonus points are projected according to the BPS, autosubs and vice-captains done.

Expected overall average is 44 points.

Average score in the top 10K is 54.5(-1.9) points.

Average score in the top 1K is 55.0 (-1.9) points.

SUMMARY

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW38 Average Score 44.2 54.5
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 0.6 1.9
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 10.9 11.8
Captains Played 97.5% 100.0%
of Which: Vice-Captains 8.5% 0.6%

Continue reading

GW 24 Stats

GW 38 Transfers and Team Selection

Please welcome to the statistics on team selection and transfer activity for GW 38. See this post for highlights and graphs. FULL STATS are available in THIS GOOGLE SPREADSHEET.

A little heads-up. This gameweek is final, so I post my last regular posts for this season today. But before going on a summer break and enjoying the World Cup, I have a few research articles about this season coming over next few days on the following topics:

  • Summary of all my posts this season
  • Study of the final top 10K teams
  • This season’s place in the history of FPL

TRANSFERS AND TEAM VALUE

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
Average Transfers Made 0.41 1.39
Point Hits Taken 8.9% 36.4%
Average Points Deducted (Incl. No Hits) 0.62 1.86
Wildcards Played 0.2% 0.2%
Wildcard Status
- unavailable 100.0% 100.0%
- available 0.0% 0.0%
- active 0.0% 0.0%
Average Team Value ₤99.9m ₤108.0m
Average Money in the Bank ₤1.0m ₤2.1m

Continue reading

GW 37 Final Results

GW 37 Final Results

Please welcome to the final results for GW 37 with bonus points, autosubs, and vice-captains. I assume the following bonus points: Dzeko(3), Zabaleta(2), Yaya Toure(1); Alonso(3), Borini(2), Brown(2).

Expected overall average is 62-63 points (+20.4 points today):  14.1 points scored in the games today, 5.5 points coming off the bench, 0.8 points for vice-captains.

Average score in the top 10K is 75.3 (-4.4) points (+31.1 points today): 26.2 points scored in the games today, 4.2 points coming off the bench, 0.7 points for vice-captains.

SUMMARY

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW37 Average Score 62.9 75.3
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 1.1 4.4
Players Played per Team (out of 12) * 11.4* 11.9*
Captains Played 98.5% 99.8%
of Which: Vice-Captains 11.5% 9.1%

*Note: players played per team (out of 12) means the number of players per average team who played positive minutes; number of games for DGW players is not taken into account

Continue reading

GW 37 Intermediate Results 3

GW 37 Intermediate Results – Tuesday

Great day for Wilson owners. Please welcome to the intermediate results for GW 37 with the following bonus points: Wilson(3), RvP(2), Fellaini(2).

Expected overall average is 42 points (+2.6 points today).

Average score in the top 10K is 44.2 points (+0.9 points today).

SUMMARY

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW37 Average Score 42.5 44.2
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 1.1 4.4
Players Played per Team (out of 12)* 9.9 10.4
Captains Played 86.2% 90.7%

*Note: players played per team (out of 12) means the number of players per average team who played positive minutes; number of games for DGW players is not taken into account

Continue reading

GW 37 Intermediate Results 2

GW 37 Intermediate Results – Monday

Condolences to Liverpool fans. Here is another chunk of intermediate results for this gameweek with the following bonus points: Gayle(3), Gerrard(2), Allen(2).

Expected overall average is 39 points, maybe 40 (+8.8 points today).

Average score in the top 10K is 43.3 points (+9.2 points today).

SUMMARY

Random Sample Top 10K
Number of Managers 20,000 10,000
GW37 Average Score 39.9 43.3
Average Points Deducted for Point Hits 1.1 4.4
Players Played per Team (out of 12) 9.8 10.4
Captains Played 86.0% 90.7%

Continue reading