Season 2014/15 Summary – Transfers

description summary of FPL Discovery posts for season 2014/15
gameweeks included 1-38 (full season)
samples examined – random samples of 20,000 FPL teams
– samples of top 10,000 FPL teams as of the start of each gameweek (in GW 1 both samples were identical as there is no top 10K at the start of a season)
team selection



  • Over the season, top 10K teams were twice as active on the transfer market compared to casual FPL teams. GW 2 was the only GW when an average top team made fewer transfers than an average FPL team. After a couple more weeks, the constantly increasing number of ghost teams started to drag casuals down while top 10K teams maintained a high level of transfer activity.
  • GW 16 was the hottest time at the top: Sergio Agüero got injured and 91.6% top 10K teams sold him and used the proceeds to get premium midfielders like Hazard and Yaya Toure. On top of that, highly owned Fabregas, Austin and Chambers earned one game suspensions. Another wave of transfer activity came at the end of the season and was caused by fixture rearrangements.
  • For both samples, the average number of transfers made (0.58 and 1.13) was very similar to the last season values ( 0.54 and 1.24 for the observed part of the season).


  • Transfer activity in FPL gradually declined over the season. While 40%-50% teams didn’t make any transfers in a typical early gameweek, at the end of the season this number soared to 80%.


  • The picture was different for top teams: early in the season, top 10K consisted of teams that hit the nail with their GW1 squads or played their wildcards early, and such teams had already been set up well, included best performing players, and therefore didn’t require many changes. As the season progressed, turnover of top 10K teams decreased and transfer activity was normally higher, reaching its highest levels in GW 16 and in DGW 34; in the latter case, 6.48% top 10K players made four or more transfers, with me contributing to this number :)

Last Season

team selection

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s